Professor Gingrich

February 13, 2008 Category: Global

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By: wdporter

I really wanted this guy to run for President.  I was shocked and appalled at the way he was treated by the FEC ala McCain/Feingold, and will always wonder what could have been.  At the CPAC last week Newt had clear and concise ideas for the Conservative Government.

It is probably one of the most instructive speeches outlining truly logical Conservatism I’ve heard in quite a while.  Three very interesting things struck me as inevitable for the survival of the Conservative movement:

1) Declaration of Independence from the Republican Party.
2) A halt with the obsession of the Oval Office and all that Washington for our leadership.
3) A renewed focus on Conservative GOVERNMENT instead of packaged consultant-driven campaigns.

So in other words:

1) A movement of ideas and not personalities.
2) Bottom-up politics instead of top-down–starting with Boards of Supervisors, etc.
3) Keeping our promises and earning the America’s trust.

Anyway, you gotta see the whole thing…

One question:

February 13, 2008 Category: Global

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By: wdporter

Someone explain to me why the Republican party of all party has a front loaded primary where delegate-heavy New York and New Jersey is winner take all…virtually guaranteeing that a Southern Conservative can’t possibly win them, and Louisiana is virtually a “winner-take-none” State…Virginia with 40% of its voting population in the DC suburbs…winner-take-all state.

Now I’m not fussin’, but just curious.  It seems odd to me that an obviously contentious election from the beginning would have four or five states engineered early on to eliminate a “Non-establishment” candidate.

I’m not a Republican, so I need this explained to me.

Endorsements

February 12, 2008 Category: Global

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By: wdporter

I think it is becoming very evident that endorsements aren’t nearly as valuable as their recipients would like them to be.   This is why I’m so excited to hear that Clinton is ready to roll out some Texas endorsements. 

McCain has the endorsement of every Senator in Washington and 165 Southern Governors past and present; I think he’s expecting to announce that Ronald Reagan and Jesus Christ are going to be campaigning with him in Texas along with Governor Perry.

And still he can barely get the majority of the Republican vote in any of the States he plays in…and that’s among REPUBLICANS!

Clinton has a 30 year old machine working and slaving for her day and night, and with an INSANELY popular Democratic Governor stumping for her she STILL gets her ASS kicked in Maryland.

But at least she has promised us that she’s going to raise the minimum wage to $9.50.  Still waiting to see if McCain agrees with her or not.

Here’s a suggestion for Senator McCain.

February 12, 2008 Category: Global

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By: wdporter

If the election comes down to McCain and Obama…McCain should assuredly fight to limit the number of debates on the schedule.  I’m sitting here watching him read his script, and I weep for the party…the guy behind him should be instructed to look at the corner of the Senator’s eye instead of reading the script along with him.  This is elementary.

My friends…this might just be ugly.

Jonah Goldberg on Mike Huckabee

February 12, 2008 Category: Global

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By: wdporter

First of all, a little disclaimer, I’m a HUGE Jonah Goldberg fan. I’m looking forward to buying his book, Liberal Fascism, just as soon as I get the chance. He understands true Conservatism (and modern “Liberalism”) more completely than most.

But he’s wrong on Mike Huckabee.

And that’s OK, noone’s perfect, and if I were in his position I’d probably feel the same way. But I’m not, so I’m going to try to add a little perspective.

Jonah Goldberg had an article in the L.A. Times a few months ago that is definitely worth reading. The reason is worth reading is because Jonah Goldberg is the best at analyzing political thought, and calling it like it is. Here’s an excerpt:

What’s troubling about The Man From Hope 2.0 is what he represents. Huckabee represents compassionate conservatism on steroids. A devout social conservative on issues such as abortion, school prayer, homosexuality and evolution, Huckabee is a populist on economics, a fad-follower on the environment and an all-around do-gooder who believes that the biblical obligation to do “good works” extends to using government — and your tax dollars — to bring us closer to the Kingdom of Heaven on Earth.

For example, Huckabee has indicated he would support a nationwide federal ban on public smoking. Why? Because he’s on a health kick, thinks smoking is bad and believes the government should do the right thing.

And therein lies the chief difference between Paul and Huckabee. One is a culturally conservative libertarian. The other is a right-wing progressive.

First of all, there’s a key word in that first paragraph: “represents.” Mike Huckabee represents something that Jonah is severely uncomfortable with. Never mind that the Governor has never pushed for “populist” economics. And never mind that although the Governor does believe there is an obligation for us as U.S. citizens, biblically and otherwise, to do “good works”, he has never said that federal tax dollars (or even State tax dollars for that matter) were best suited to do it.

And on the smoking ban, I think Huckabee’s position on it might be flawed. Like I said, noone’s perfect. However, noone on the “Libertarian” side seems to be willing to have the conversation about what Huckabee’s position is on it…and that is he believes it’s a workplace safety issue, and that a ban on smoking in the workplace is equal to any other Federal safety regulations.

I’m not sure I agree with Huckabee either on this one…but is Jonah Goldberg willing to argue with him on the merits? No…scream “Free Markets” and move on…OK. I’ve done it myself, but it doesn’t really add to the discourse does it? And the issues themselves are irrelevant because it’s what Huckabee represents that’s important.

More Jonah:

Indeed, Huckabee represents the latest attempt to make conservatism more popular by jettisoning the unpopular bits. Contrary to the conventional belief that Republicans need to drop their opposition to abortion, gay marriage and the like in order to be popular, Huckabee understands that the unpopular stuff is the economic libertarianism: free trade and smaller government. That’s why we’re seeing a rise in economic populism on the right coupled with a culturally conservative populism. Huckabee is the bastard child of Lou Dobbs and Pat Robertson.

(Again that word) Now we see how economic populism has now been combined with social populism? What is social populism all of a sudden. Just a second ago, I was under the impression that “populism” was by definition economic. What an interesting turn of events. What I don’t understand from this argument is that Jonah feels that social and economic conservative principles are mutually exclusive.

More importantly, in the same SENTENCE that Jonah accuses Mike Huckabee of dropping economically Conservative principles for the purpose of embracing socially Conservative principles, he posits that the “conventional belief” is that Republicans should just drop the Social Principles. Wow. I’ll come back to that.

More Jonah:

Historically, the conservative movement benefited from the tension between libertarianism and cultural traditionalism. This tension — and the effort to reconcile it under the name “fusionism” — has been mischaracterized as a battle between right-wing factions when it is a conflict that runs through the heart of individual conservatives. We all have little Mike Huckabees and Ron Pauls sitting on our shoulders. Neither is always right, but both should be listened to.”

This is all true, except it ignores the concept of Federalism, which Jonah understands all too well, but has chosen to completely leave out of the conversation for reasons that are unclear. The problem is: Jonah Goldberg, while accurately describing the internal conflict within true Conservatives has decided to kick the little Mike Huckabee off of his shoulder and listen only to the Ron Paul. He doesn’t like Mike Huckabee because Mike Huckabee is a Conservative and not a Libertarian. Jonah Goldberg is very much a Libertarian. There is no Mike Huckabee on his shoulder or he wouldn’t be poopooing a stance on traditional marriage or sanctity of life.

And the issues of sanctity of life, traditional marriage, family values, etc. are not “in-tension” with the views of property rights, right-to-bear-arms, and Free Markets. They are inexorably intertwined…if you really follow Mike on almost every issue, you’ll find that his Social Conservatism defines and strengthens his Libertarianism and vice-versa.

It’s much more like the Freedom and Security “tension” (you can’t be Free if you’re not safe, and if you can’t be free why be safe at all) If families, communities, Faiths, Traditions, are not respected and preserved, then Government fills that void…EVERY TIME.

So Jonah, go find that little Mike Huckabee that you flicked off of your shoulder and have a conversation with him. Better yet…get out of Manhattan and D.C. and go talk to someone in Middle America, and after you’ve talked with a few of them …tell me if their Social Conservatism doesn’t have a sincerely Libertarian tint to it.

Your Libertarianism isn’t any more or less important than theirs just because it’s defined under different terms.

Huckabee on Glenn Beck

February 10, 2008 Category: Global, Loudoun

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By: wdporter

I know everyone is tired of hearing me talk about Huckabee…but this is a must watch. Name me one Presdidential Candidate who is taken the time to talk about these things. This guy is not just some preacher from Hope who wants to be a “Christian Leader.” He is someone who not only understands Federalism, but can explain it and embodies it. There’s two parts to this video, the second part starting at 4:00, is about Katrina and Governor Huckabee connects the failures of the Katrina tragedy with the current administration’s Hamiltonianism:

This guy just gets it…pure and simple…he’s wrong about a few things, but not on this one.

The case for Huckabee (and Paul) staying in…again.

February 10, 2008 Category: Global, Loudoun

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By: wdporter

An interesting article by Mark Davis which ties the “Free Market” concept with the current GOP primary situation.  An article which curiously fails to mention even the NAME of either of the other candidates still in the race, and tells us to “Calm down” and “Relax” and “Take a deep breath”…sound familiar?

If Mark Davis were to follow his market analogy, then he would agree that competition breeds quality improvement.

There is a plethora of evidence that:

a) McCain indeed could conceivably go into the convention without 1191 delegates.
b) The other candidates (all that currently have delegates–Huckabee, Romney, and Paul) will as a result have influence at that convention.
c) All four of these Republicans add to the discourse, and as a result improve the party and hold it to its principles of National Security, Free-markets, and Traditionalism.
d) Governor Huckabee and Congressman Paul will have a debate with John McCain at least once before the very important March 4th Primaries. This helps the Republican party in a plethora of very obvious ways.

There is no such thing as a perfect candidate with a perfect history. Reagan wasn’t perfect either, but he communicated the Conservative vision extremely well. Huckabee does that better than McCain and that’s why he is doing so well in “Middle America.” That doesn’t make him perfect, and it doesn’t make him Ronald Reagan, but why is a candidate having MORE success in core Republican States make him LESS of a player than someone having LESS success there (like Romney).

If we are concerned about the future of the party (or more  importantly the Conservative Movement), you need to look no further than the Youth Vote on the Republican side. In competitive Primary states (Missouri, Louisiana, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Georgia) Republican voters between 18-29 vote pretty largely in favor of Huckabee…there’s a reason for that, and it’s mainly because the guy makes sense, he doesn’t “golly” too much and he doesn’t speak down to people, he relates and he connects.

Another odd thing about the “Middle America” voter:  the “three legs of the Conservative stool” are not represented so clear cut by the candidates’ supporters.  For instance, Mitt Romney supporters are more confident of his foreign policy abilities than they are his economic abilities, and McCain supporters are more confident in his economic abilities than in his foreign policy abilities.  Seems odd doesn’t it?  It’s not odd; it means that most people don’t vote like mindless drones based on ONE issue.  If they’re voting for some guy, they either a) like him because they like him, or b) believe he is the right man for the job…period.

The reason why a John McCain fan feels John McCain can handle the economy better is because they trust him…they respect his military leadership experience to the point where they think he would MAKES BETTER DECISIONS about the economy.  An avid Romney fan trusts Romney to run our Military the same way he run his businesses: efficiently, intelligently, calling on other experts for advise, and MAKING GOOD DECISIONS.

And a Huckabee fan trusts Huckabee with Foreign Policy AND the Economy, not because they hope he’ll sweep into the White House, change all our textbooks to teach only Creationism, hang all the gay people and hand out guns to first graders.  They trust him because they trust his ability to MAKE DECISIONS based on his Faith, his Principles, and his Values, and like the idea of his getting on his knees every once in a while and asking the Good Lord for guidance.  Thus the often maligned and often denigrated “Evangelical Right” wants a leader that makes major decisions much like they do.  (And by the way, did anyone notice that the more educated voters in these States tend to vote for Huckabee…hmm.)

All that to say that “the third leg of the stool” is the one that is missing from the Conservative conversation…and Huckabee embodies that even more than the current President does, because he talks about ECONOMIC and NATIONAL SECURITY issues from the SOCIAL CONSERVATIVE point of view.  Reagan did it…A LOT!…just listen to his speeches.  It’s perfectly reasonable (even recommended) for someone’s foreign policy and economic ideals to be firmly rooted in their “SOCIAL” principles.

Liberals do it easily.  Every argument they make stems from a social core:  Respect for human dignity, the plight of the poor, equality, “universal health care”, privacy…

Name an argument–foreign policy, economics, or social–from the left’s point of view that doesn’t stem from this core.  It’s impossible to think of one.  Simple economics, historical truths, science…all can be ignored at the drop of the hat because of what they feel is the “Right” thing to do.  And their logic still comes out looking consistent and sound.

The Conservative view has the ability to do the same thing, but it gets lost in semantics:  “I’m a FISCAL conservative so I think those dumb redneck christians should just shut up about their stupid “social” issues. ”  or “That Romney guy is a good business person, but I just don’t think he has what it takes to fight the ‘War on Terror’” or “That McCain guy thought stemcell research was a good idea so he should definitely ROT IN HELL.”

I’ve often said that the thinking Conservative view is harder to sell because it requires logic to defend it, whereas the Liberal point of view doesn’t require it at all.  The problem with that is, obviously, thinking Liberals feel the same way about the Conservative view.  Thus logical conversations are often impossible between even the most intelligent political thinkers.

Maybe the problem is that the Conservative three-legged stool is not really Free Markets, Christian Fundamentalism, and Peace through Strength.  Instead, maybe it’s:  Limited and enumerated Government, Community and Family Values, and National Sovereignty.   Ron Paul and Mike Huckabee represent those ideas better than ANYONE in the race and thus need to continue to be heard.  Without this perspective Conservatives  look like either: 1) warmongers, 2) greedy money-grubbers, or 3) fanatic proselytes.  (As opposed to Environmentalist Wackos, Feminazis, and Peaceniks).  None of these images were attractive to “Reagan Democrats.”

I believe my point is, if we can’t have a reasonable, logical, and productive conversation with each other through the Republican primaries–regardless of the damn delegate count, how in the hell are we supposed to change the hearts and minds of Liberals and “Moderates?” 

The fat lady hasn’t quite cleared her throat.

February 08, 2008 Category: Global, Loudoun

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By: wdporter

Anyone who would like to see the POSSIBILITY of a Huckabee nomination, need look no further than:

Right Smart

Personally, I think it would be a mistake…once again…to count this man out. At the VERY LEAST, he’s a serious factor at the convention for pulling together the party. Especially given a) Dobson’s endorsement, b) the demographic makeup of the majority of the States left, and c) the fact that there’s another GOP debate scheduled toward the end of February.

It is absolutely impossible for McCain to have the needed 471 delegates between now and the next debate at the end of February, because there are only 308 up for grabs between now and then…which Huckabee will undoubtedly win many of…conceivable a majority.

And thank you to Chuck Todd…who is actually paying attention to the Huckabee factor and not simply ignoring it to start writing about the general election. Considering the Obama factor, if Huckabee were to pull off winner-take-all Virginia (maybe a long shot, but with my Loudoun “Bully Pullpit”, and the millions of hits I get a day…) then this gets REALLY interesting.

Here’s my comment on Chuck Todd’s site:

Here’s the deal…Huckabee is NOT going to exit the race whether or not he loses Virginia…He’s going to stay in and gather up at least as many delegates as Romney has. Why in God’s name wouldn’t he do that?

He will DEFINITELY win more total delegates than Romney if he stays in…therefore he will DEFINITELY have significant clout at the convention.

McCain CANNOT win more than the needed 471 before March 4th…period. He will have to debate Huckabee (and Paul) later this month…period. There is good reason for this to happen because if Huckabee is GOING to concede, then the two can have a little GOP love-fest to unite the party around McCain’s Iraq agenda (while pissing off Ron Paul). Everybody wins.

But if Huckabee makes (yet another) comeback…(and winning Virginia would probably be required) then who knows?

Mr. Huber seems to think that the fat lady is clearing her throat, but the question is: Who is she voting for?

Huckabee being shut down by the Press.

February 07, 2008 Category: Global, Loudoun

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By: wdporter

Take a look at this:

OK, this link is now a little outdated…

Now, how is it that having the “Anti-McCain vote” split with Romney in the race doesn’t make it HARDER for McCain to clinch the nomination WITHOUT Romney in the race. It seems a little contradictory to me. Yet again, the Huck is being misunderestimated. Admittedly, it’s probably “one primary too late”, but it certainly doesn’t make it EASIER for McCain if Huckabee stays in…as he has sworn repeatedly he will…

McCain has probably just finished speaking at the same Conference that Romney spoke in. Mike Huckabee will speaking there Saturday morning. If only there was a McCain/Huckabee debate between now and then…

And why is it completely impossible to find a poll in ANY of the upcoming States (Louisiana, Virginia, Kansas–All States that Huckabee could potentially run strongly) in…newer than October?

Romney is backing out…

February 07, 2008 Category: Global, Loudoun

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By: wdporter

Speaking at CPAC…in DC

He didn’t endorse anyone, though…

And as usual, the best speeches always come when someone is conceding a race.  Isn’t that just amazing?  The implications of this are HUGE, of course; not sure if Huckabee will follow suit, but I sincerely doubt it, and hope he fights on.  If Romney doesn’t endorse Huckabee, which I doubt he will, then McCain is still a clear front runner, but it does indeed mean that Huckabee will pull down several states that he may not have otherwise (WOOHOOO!).  Don’t count out Huck just yet.