“We” do NOT need to “do more.”

October 20, 2008 Category: Global

Tags: , , , ,

By: wdporter

Nancy Pelosi wrote last week in the USA Today that “we” (meaning the Congress, of course–she certainly doesn’t mean “We the People”) need to do more.  Another stimulus package.  And it appears that Bernanke is going to support it, even though the Bush Administration has been “cool” to the idea (meaning they will eventually support it, but only after trying to sound like Fiscal Conservatives).

FOR THE LOVE OF GOD STOP!!!

There is NO evidence that the economy will even be slightly “stimulated” by more action by the Fed or Congress.  Their meddling has INCREASED uncertainty, not decreased it, and everything looks obviously like it’s been thrown against the wall to see what’ll stick.

The dirty little secret here, and the thing that noone is willing to say out loud:

“Middle Class” stimulus does not “stimulate” the economy.  The “trickle up” theory has WAY less evidence behind it than the “trickle down” theory.  Tax cuts on the top 1% increase revenues to the government and create jobs.  Tax hikes on the top 1% do the opposite.  Tax cuts to the Middle Class decrease revenues to the Government and have little effect on jobs.

Maybe it’s not “fair” but it’s the facts.

Bernanke’s support of a fiscal stimulus package further proves that he has no confidence that a monetary stimulus package will have any effect at all.  And of course it won’t.  One commentar on MarketWatch called a Bernanke speech, “The ULTIMATE sell signal.”  He’s not far from the truth.

Economics question

October 19, 2008 Category: Global

Tags: , , ,

By: johnnyb

The reluctance of banks to lend these days has me curious.  When capital becomes more scarce, does not it’s value intrinsically rise?  In the case of money, the reluctance of banks to lend, which seems to stem from not knowing how many bad assets are held by trading partners, should and does lead to higher interest rates.  However, Bernanke and company are keeping rates low, and keep the shell game going by injecting capital into 9 big banks regardless of their assets.  My open question is whether holding down the interest rates has any economic standing whatsoever, or is it simply to keep the adjustable rates mortgages from going up and more homes from foreclosing?  Isn’t the right thing to do to let rates go up and let this adjustment work it’s way through the market?  Once we find out who are the winners (Wells Fargo?) and losers (Citibank?) we can more quickly park money in safer harbors.

Oh, I guess we should just let the government choose winners and losers.

The status of the economic slump

October 09, 2008 Category: Global

Tags:

By: johnnyb

This recession is happening, and there is nothing we can do about it.  Central banking can do nothing.

From the Economist

If the panic that has choked the arteries of credit across the globe is not calmed soon, the danger will increase that output in rich economies will not simply shrink, but collapse. The same could happen in many emerging markets, especially those that rely on foreign capital. No country or industry would be spared from the equivalent of a global financial heart attack.

By the way, guess who said this:

Let me end my talk by abusing slightly my status as an official representative of the Federal Reserve. I would like to say to Milton and Anna: Regarding the Great Depression. You’re right, we did it. We’re very sorry. But thanks to you, we won’t do it again.

The answer, Ben Bernanke

Federal banking causes problem; needs more power to solve it

October 08, 2008 Category: Global

Tags: , ,

By: johnnyb

I am curious at the desire of all of the talking heads, left and right, to hand as much power to the federal reserve as humanly possible.  Here are two of the few detractors.

In response to the claim that deregulation of the current administration is to blame, a canard to which the NY Times and most liberals religiously cling, Sebastian Mallaby of the Washington Post says this:

The real roots of the crisis lie in a flawed response to China. Starting in the 1990s, the flood of cheap products from China kept global inflation low, allowing central banks to operate relatively loose monetary policies. But the flip side of China’s export surplus was that China had a capital surplus, too. Chinese savings sloshed into asset markets ’round the world, driving up the price of everything from Florida condos to Latin American stocks.

That gave central bankers a choice: Should they carry on targeting regular consumer inflation, which Chinese exports had pushed down, or should they restrain asset inflation, which Chinese savings had pushed upward? Alan Greenspan’s Fed chose to stand aside as asset prices rose; it preferred to deal with bubbles after they popped by cutting interest rates rather than by preventing those bubbles from inflating. After the dot-com bubble, this clean-up-later policy worked fine. With the real estate bubble, it has proved disastrous.

So the first cause of the crisis lies with the Fed, not with deregulation.

So, how do we get out of this mess? Why, give the Fed more power, of course:

Radical steps by the Fed under chairman Ben Bernanke — all in the name of seeking to halt the panic sweeping financial markets — are turning it into a financial colossus. They’re also putting the government deeper in debt and taxpayers further at risk if the various moves fail.

And it’s being done with little direct interaction with Capitol Hill. The Fed does not depend on Congress for its budget, including its payroll, and is as much a creature of the nation’s banking system as part of the federal government.

This doesn’t raise eyebrows? Any regrets from any representatives out there? Anybody selling gold? Anyone good at bartering because I could use some tips for our new economy.

Ben Bernanke is the scariest guy to come out of Princeton since Woodrow Wilson, who coincidentally created the federal reserve. Well, our political culture has been far too Wilsonian as of late. Historians and liberals hate on Harding and Coolidge, but these presidents were wildly, resoundingly popular presidents because of their isolationist tendencies (Americans hated the League of Nations) and hands off approach to government interference in markets. It is once again time to Whither Wilsonianism.

Want to hear more from the Genius? Here is what Bernanke said in June about our health care system.

Ben S. Bernanke, chairman of the Federal Reserve, told Congress on Monday that health spending would “rise relentlessly” unless lawmakers overhauled the health care system, and he recommended an eclectic approach.

Alternatively, Mr. Bernanke said, Congress could establish a commission like the Federal Reserve Board to set health policy. But, he said, such a panel would need “very clear guidance from Congress,” because health care accounts for “an enormous part of our economy.”

How long would it take for a panel of unelected bureaucrats to suggest nationalizing medicine, ensuring jobs for millions of other unelected bureaucrats? How long would it take Barack Obama and a Democratic legislature to sign on? Hopefully less time than it takes to convert all of my savings into peanut butter, canned goods, and enough ammo to last me through the next four years.

Hat tip:
NT

I know! Let’s print more money!

September 30, 2008 Category: Global

Tags: , , , , ,

By: wdporter

Desperate for innovative solutions. Ben Bernanke is really thinking outside of the box…and continuing the same mindless monetary policy the Federal Reserve has followed for years:

Print…more…money:

The Fed has been extremely creative about using its existing legal authority and massive pool of resources to try to stabilize the financial system during the past 14 months. Just yesterday, it announced it would triple the size of a special program through which it injects cash into banks. It also vastly expanded a lending program for foreign central banks to make $620 billion available to pump into the financial systems in other large countries.

When will they ever understand? Destroy our currency and destroy our economy. I’m not an economist. I don’t even play one on TV. But this seems just maniacal.

Here’s a rather simple explanation on why the bailout as poppycock from the get-go.